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ORB survey of Iraq War casualties
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ORB survey of Iraq War casualties : ウィキペディア英語版
ORB survey of Iraq War casualties
On Friday, 14 September 2007, ORB International, an independent polling agency located in London, published estimates of the total war casualties in Iraq since the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003.〔("More than 1,000,000 Iraqis murdered" ). September 2007. Opinion Research Business.〕 At over 1.2 million deaths (1,220,580), this estimate is the highest number published so far. From the poll margin of error of +/-2.5% ORB calculated a range of 733,158 to 1,446,063 deaths. The ORB estimate was performed by a random survey of 1,720 adults aged 18+, out of which 1,499 responded, in fifteen of the eighteen governorates within Iraq, between August 12 and August 19, 2007.〔("Poll: Civilian Death Toll in Iraq May Top 1 Million" ). By Tina Susman. 14 September 2007. ''Los Angeles Times.''〕〔("Greenspan Admits Iraq was About Oil, As Deaths Put at 1.2 Million" ). By Peter Beaumont and Joanna Walters. 16 September 2007. ''The Observer (UK).''〕 In comparison, the 2006 Lancet survey suggested almost half this number (654,965 deaths) through the end of June 2006. The Lancet authors calculated a range of 392,979 to 942,636 deaths.
On 28 January 2008, ORB published an update based on additional work carried out in rural areas of Iraq. Some 600 additional interviews were undertaken September 20 to 24, 2007. As a result of this the death estimate was revised to 1,033,000 with a given range of 946,000 to 1,120,000.〔(Update on Iraqi Casualty Data ) by Opinion Research Business, January 2008. Info in PDF and DOC form is linked on the bottom of the page.〕〔(Revised casualty analysis. New analysis ‘confirms’ 1 million+ Iraq casualties ). Jan. 28, 2008. Opinion Research Business. (Word Viewer for .doc files ).〕 As well as estimating the number of deaths the ORB poll also showed that despite the violence only 26% of Iraqis preferred life under Saddam Husseins regieme while 49% said that they preferred life under the current political system.〔http://www.opinion.co.uk/Newsroom_details.aspx?NewsId=67〕
This ORB estimate has been criticised as exaggerated and ill-founded in peer reviewed literature.〔("Conflict Deaths in Iraq: A Methodological Critique of the ORB Survey Estimate" ) By Michael Spagat and Josh Dougherty〕
== Survey question and results ==

Participants of the ORB survey were asked the following question:

"How many members of your household, if any, have died as a result of the conflict in Iraq since 2003 (ie as a result of violence rather than a natural death such as old age)? Please note that I mean those who were actually living under your roof."

The revised results〔 were

抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア(Wikipedia)
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